The Australian Football League is one of the most popular sporting leagues in the world. With an estimated 106.2 million views in 2022 making it the fourth-highest average attendance of any domestic sports league in the world.
The huge popularity of AFL has also opened up opportunities for fans to make money through footy tipping. In this article, you will learn about the rules of tipping and also acquire some tips to help you maximize your potential earnings.
Rules on Tipping
Here are the rules on footy tipping that every tipster should know:
- Tipsters who bet on the winning team will receive 1 point.
- Bettors who tip on a perfect round will receive an additional 5 points.
- For tips on the NRL, a tipster receives 1 point for betting on a winner of the golden point playoff if the match is a draw at full time. If the match is still a draw after the golden point, no point will be given to the game.
- For A-League/EPL, tipsters must select “Draw” to be awarded a point if the match ends in a draw. No point will be awarded if you bet on a team in a drawn match.
- For rugby competitions in leagues like the AFL, Super Rugby, and Mitre 10, no point will be given in case the match ends in a draw.
- A score margin should be entered for a game within the round.
Tips on Footy Tipping
Tipping can be a great way to make additional money while watching one of the most popular sports in the world. There are 198 home-and-away matches in a season of AFL. Predicting the outcome of each game can be a daunting task. Here are some tips to help you increase your potential earnings after the game.
1. Place a Bet on the Opponent
You have your favorite team, and as much as possible, you want to tip them that they will win. But it is not the case all the time. It is okay to bet against your favorite team from time to time. However, there is one time when you don’t bet against your favorite, which is when they are playing for a spot in the finals. This is a sign of cowardice because it means you do not believe in your team.
2. Follow Your Hunch
This is an important point to remember in afl footy tipping. Simply put, you don’t bet against your gut feeling because chances are it will happen. Even if 95 percent of the other bettors are betting differently, your hunch should always prevail.
3. Stick to Your Tip
When you have already placed a tip, stick to it. Don’t change your original tip, even if you think it was wrong. Even if someone threatens you that terrible things will happen if you don’t, stick to it. If you do, chances are it will be wrong. This is a scientific fact.
4. Tip on the Home Teams
You will never go wrong when you bet on the home team. You will likely not win it all, but you won’t lose it, either. The problem with this method is that the nine Melbourne teams share just two home grounds. In Southern and Western Australia, two teams share just one stadium.
Nevertheless, there is a designated home team, and this strategy involves betting on that team. It is also worth noting that in the last six seasons of the AFL, just over 55% of home teams have won.
5. Flipping the Coin
This is the simplest tipping method. Assuming that you bet on a draw not happening, the average return of flipping the coin is around 49.6% of correct tips.
6. Tip the Leader
In this tipping strategy, you take a look at the ladder every week and bet on the team at the top of the ladder. Tipping the leader is very popular among the league’s less dedicated followers. The good news is that this technique has shown better results than flipping the coin and tipping on the home team.
In the last six seasons, more than twice as many games were won by the leading teams. From the 2011 – 2013 seasons, this method achieved a 70% success rate.
7. Tipping the Odds
This strategy requires taking a quick glance at the bookmakers’ odds. Tipping the odds is based on the assumption that the bookies’ know best. Historically speaking, over 71% of the favorites have won in the last five seasons of the AFL. During the 2013 season, none of the other strategies came even close to the benchmark set by this strategy. It even surpassed the success rate established by tipping the leader.
8. Relying on the Experts
Melbourne’s Herald Sun has a team of experts that tip on each round of the games. This team of experts consists of AFL journalists, broadcasters, and current and former players. Generally, this strategy is based on the argument that who can better predict the results of a game than those who write or play the game for a living.
However, the results were less impressive across the board, with less than 63% of the so-called experts making a correct prediction. While some pundits did well in some years, their status as “experts” was undermined in 2014 and 2015. In 2014, the tipping leader dragged down the expert’s average in 2015, when the tipping champion was in the middle of the pack the previous year.
9. A Statistician’s Call
Since 1981, a tipping algorithm developed by Stephen Clarke from Swinburne University has generated predictions for every AFL game. Clarke’s program has been a project of heated discussions over the years as it claims to be better than most experts. He may have a point, as it yielded impressive results with more than 70% and 69% correct tips in 2014 and 2015, respectively.
Although the program’s exact formula has been tweaked over the years, it has primarily relied on two principal factors– home-ground advantage and the form of the team. Clarke estimates that the former could be worth as much as a ten-point advantage in some games.
Make Money From AFL Tipping
As the AFL continues to rise in popularity, you can take the opportunity to get some cash while watching the most popular sports in the world. You can do some testing first to hone your skills and strategies.